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Monday, December 31, 2018

AAAAAAAAND IT’S GONE!

“I’m sure it was just a “glitch” … no worries, markets always come back!”  

Today finds me LMAO, here on New Year’s Eve, with a South Park clip that 
has me LOL every time I replay it … and while more than partially true for 
many, it’s still funny. Directly below, the link for some New Year’s Eve giggles!
  

And just like that … it’s gone! … I’m referring to the RUT2000 call spread 
volatility trades, and the “binary options arbitrage strategy” trades in RUT2000 
& WTI Crude Oil that we’ve been doing recently, where suddenly “they ain’t 
there anymore” … “well, they come and go like dust in the wind … maybe 
somebody wised up and stopped giving free money away … dunno … but other 
markets take their place”.

Last night saw a “borderline” volatility call spread trade in GBPJPY … cuz 
it’s New Year’s Eve, and most markets in Europe closed, and the outlook for 
today in the U.S. session less than rosy, I choose not to take it … “well, you 
know how that works out, right? … you take it, it doesn’t pan out, and everybody 
and their brother reminds you what a dumbass you are for doing it on N.Y.E. 
… you don’t take it and it works better than pulling money out of an ATM, and 
everybody [read dog & Mrs.] asks why you didn’t do it … meh”! In reality, it’s 
simply I’m not that crazy about Holiday markets.

Other than that possible trade, no signals today for signals service subscribers, 
and we simply wait for Wednesday and pick trading up again. Tomorrow sees 
the “Binary Tutorial” get posted, over in “Download Links”, as well as a table of 
the 14 markets we follow with 20 Day Average MA’s & SDEV [Standard 
Deviations] for 2018. And this information, as you will come to appreciate, is 
vitally important in our trading.

So, with the day dwindling down to nada … the evening’s festivities ahead of 
us, I’m outta here early … have a safe and joyous night!

Have a great New Year’s Eve everybody! … and be safe!

-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES IN 20 
OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, & STOCK 
INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?









Sunday, December 30, 2018

SUNDAY UPDATE: SOME NEW FILES

“Preparing to deal effectively with risk!”  

On Saturday, I put over in the right hand column, “Download Links”, and the 
file over there now contains the charts of the 14 NADEX MARKETS we follow, 
that have the highest consistent volatility, broken up by category. Here you can 
visually see the 20 Day Range MA’s for 2018 … in addition, I’ve also added the 
weekly 5 Week MA charts for FX most volatile pairs, specifically GBPUSD, 
EURJPY, & GBPJPY. 

Each week after this one, I’ll post on the Sunday Update blog, each of the daily 
14 charts for your perusal and study, and you’ll quickly see which markets are 
gaining volatility, losing volatility, or staying relatively the same. 

On Tuesday, New Year’s Day, I’ll post over in “Download Links”, the tutorial 
dealing with NADEX Binary Options. In total, there will eventually be four [4] 
tutorials; 1) NADEX Binary Options [Tuesday], 2) NADEX Call Spreads, 
3) NADEX Touch Brackets, & 4) NADEX Combinations of the three above. 
I’ve decided to compartmentalize the NADEX trading process, instead of 
writing a much bigger file … this way, you can go right to what you’re 
interested in. Succeeding files will come as quickly as I can get them done. By 
the end of January, I’ll have them all released and posted. And for those newer 
readers, and/visitors to the website, all files that I host are free and in Adobe 
PDF, and are stored in my “shared file folder” at box.com … they can either be 
viewed online, or downloaded into your device for reading … so, no special 
passwords or tricks and other bulllshit you encounter like at other sites, where 
there’s always a catch … not here.

Also on Tuesday, I’ll be posting the most important file for trading 
“call spreads”, where we have compiled a table of 1) average daily range for 
the year 2018 for each market, and 2) the SDEV [standard deviation] for each 
market for 2018 … this was a “shipload” of work, but we simply need the data 
… and as will become apparent when we release the second tutorial on “call 
spreads”, you need to know what is acceptable to pay for a “call spread” and 
what isn’t … flying blind isn’t an option here.

So, onto tomorrow, which is New Year’s Eve, and we’ll see what happens 
… I’m not expecting much in Asia or Europe, but the US trading session 
particularly in the stock indices has been exceptionally volatile. But, we’ll see. 
Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES IN 20 
OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, & STOCK 
INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?











Friday, December 28, 2018

BREAK THE CHAINS

“The novel ‘1984’ wasn’t meant to be a “how to” manual!”  

Like never before, markets are manipulated beyond control … these last weeks 
in the stock indices a perfect example of what happens when the manipulators 
get caught with their pants down, the curtain is pulled back from the “great & 
powerful Oz”, and Dorothy’s all over the world get to see the Emperor has no 
clothes. “And yet, during the volatility explosion we’ve seen since the end of 
September, thanks to the hypnotic control of the financial MSM, nobody points 
out the obvious … namely, the government started it via the FED, encouraged the 
disruption in financial markets since 2008, and has added to the problem in trying 
to “fix it” … in short, everything they touch turns to shit … and the ones paying 
the price? … yup, you guessed it, the investors & traders of the world, who are 
seen as “ripe pickings” by our elite financial Overlords”! 

Trade like you’ve always traded, and your pockets and accounts will get 
fleeced … “well, I say FUCK THAT”!

And what I have been saying since this blog’s inception, is that the way to 
trade, to be able to “break free” from the manipulator banks and all the 
bullshit they throw at markets & traders on a daily basis, is to have them 
work FOR YOU, instead of AGAINST YOU … cuz we all know they’re gonna 
run stops, create havoc, get the most people they can to buy tops and sell 
bottoms, and then whip it around in seconds, in a  “volatility fire” few people 
can understand … all the while they profit and you get fleeced, but don’t know 
why.

Time to adapt or DIE, cuz now that government uses and controls markets for 
policy purposes, unless there is literally blood in the streets, they aren’t ever 
gonna give it up and trading returns to “normal” … that ship has sailed mi 
amigos … like it or not, and I most definitely don’t, government Apparatchiks 
run & control markets forevermore, and the only way to make money is to 
realize the old ways are like gambling … you have to “raise your game” to a 
level greater than that of the scumbag LP banks, and that requires a whole new 
level of “skill set” to compete effectively. Here, and now, the only thing that 
matters is volatility!

And so, you got a choice my dear reader … stay the same and trade at dumps 
like Turnkey, where you get one dimensional trading against scumbag LP 
banks that will fleece you … OR, trade volatility and let these assholes work 
for you and make you money … the advantages of NADEX over traditional 
offshore brokerage house trading couldn’t be more stark and clear … night & 
day don’t do the metaphor justice!

The dirty little secret is, that once you enter the realm of volatility, you 
instantly come face-to-face with probability theory … now, everything 
changes, cuz where once you had no clue, now the “house advantage” can be 
traded by you for your profitable gain … no longer are you beholden to the 
scumbag LP’s, hoping they don’t run your stop or dish out outrageous  
“slippage candy” … you’re on the other side now, using them against 
themselves, knowing full well the “scumbaggery” they pull every day will now 
make you money, simply cuz it doesn’t matter where the market goes … up or 
down, it doesn’t matter, cuz you got both sides covered and played for profit, 
all the while the losing side can’t move against you cuz of the defined limit of 
the derivatives you’re positioned in!!

So, whether you’re a Newbie trader or been trading traditionally for a while, if 
this is bewildering to you, then you need to “upgrade” your trading skills and 
get with the program … cuz we now have the financial derivative products we 
didn’t have before, and they most definitely have changed the “trading game” 
in the most profound way I’ve ever seen in my long, multiple decades, career of 
trading … “yea, you’re gonna have to learn new stuff, but that “new stuff” will 
make you filthy rich … and, I’ve made it extremely easy for all of you to “get up to 
speed” with coming [New Year’s Day] files and tutorials [manuals], that takes the 
majority of the “grunt work” involving the math, out of the equation and frees you 
up to LEARN … if you want to do all the work yourself, fine … everything you 
need is HERE … alternatively, you can sign up for signals service at literally 
pennies a day, and we do the work, and free you up from that. In addition, I’ve 
already made it crystal clear, that after the 3 month FREE TRIAL, even if you 
have a very tiny account of only a few hundred dollars, if you’re not making 
more real money than the subscription costs, I’ll extend the free period as long 
as it takes to get you profitable … of course, you have to do the signals, you can’t 
just sit there and “cherry pick”, but I don’t know of anything else that could be 
more fair … you have to realize, all of our positions and trades are “limited risk” 
trades, where the profitable side can “run”, while the losing side has very little 
room to move against you … that equals PROFIT, whereby even very small 
accounts can become very big accounts in a short period of time”!

And I will predict RIGHT NOW, for each and every reader who is reading this 
blog post … “when you finally “figure it out” and understand what it is the 
signals service provides, and what our trades accomplish, and the returns on risk 
capital we get practically every day … when this “hits you”, 2 things will happen; 
1) your head will explode and you’ll be pissed it took you so long to figure it out, 
and 2) you’ll NEVER trade the traditional way again … EVER … cuz the trading 
world has become multi-dimensional to you and the possibilities for profit in 
highly probabilistic scenarios will make you money with LESS RISK, than 
anything you’ve ever seen before … in other words, traditional offshore brokerage 
is for “chumps” and those willing to give money to scumbag LP banks … that’s 
my story, and i stick by it 100%”! Go ahead and email me when it eventually  
“hits you” … I’ll be ready when you are!

Today starts with another 99%+ probability of profit scenario in RUT2000 
stock index [NADEX symbol: US SmallCap2000] to signals subscribers. Given 
present volatility in the US equities markets, this type of reward/risk is about as 
good as it gets. I start with buying the 1335 -1365 Call Spread [CS] @ 1337.1, 
AND THEN IMMEDIATELY selling the 1305 - 1335 CS @ 1330.7 … this turns 
out to be 2.1 on the buy side, and 4.3 on the sell side, for a total price of this 
“synthetic options straddle” of 6.4 index points, which is total risk of $64 per 
1 lot. The NADEX CONFIRMATION EMAILS directly below.

click to enlarge ALL


Once in this position, I immediately turn my attention to the RUT2000 
binaries, where what I see on my screen I can’t hardly believe, but it’s there 
and I take full advantage … as you can see from the confirmation fill from 
NADEX, I bought the RUT2000 1350 binary @ 1.50, and then immediately 
sold the RUT1356 binary @ 16.25 … I did a 10 lot cuz it doesn’t get any better 
than this … a whopping 14.75 index points, or $147.50 of guaranteed profit, 
PLUS a nice wide 6 index point spread, where if the RUT2000 can rally again 
today, this profit spread will widen. The NADEX CONFIRMATION EMAILS 
directly below.



I then turn my attention to WTI Crude Oil, where I did another “binary 
options arbitrage strategy” trade, where again we get “free money” at 
expiration, no matter what happens, with the chance of something during the 
day to expand the profit return higher … “folks, I’ll do these trades all day long, 
and no matter the size of my account, I’d MAX THE MARGINS TO THE 
ACCOUNT MONEY LIMIT cuz they are risk free, with a chance at higher profit 
later as well … what’s not to like here”? Here, I buy the WTI Crude Oil 46.00 
binary @ 21.25, then immediately sell the 46.20 binary @ 26.25 … HERE 
AGAIN 5 POINTS OF RISK FREE PROFIT. The NADEX CONFIRMATION 
EMAILS directly below.



Ok, all of this takes me into the Asian session, where after about an hour of 
complete boredom, I place some LIMIT ORDERS to liquidate the call spreads 
in the RUT2000 before I go to bed … I place a LIMIT SELL on my long 
position @1343.0 … “WAIT … WUT!? … you’re going to go to bed with open 
positions”? … yes, cuz our longs @ 1337.1 CAN’T GO BELOW the 1335  
“floor” of the call spread, and our short position @ 1330.7 CAN’T GO 
ABOVE the 1335 “ceiling” … any movement overnight EITHER WAY, and I 
got my liquidation orders in to take us out … even if the other side goes MAX 
against us, we’ll make over 50%+ on risk capital if either side gets “hit” 
“yes, mi amigos, sweet dreams”!

Overnight, about an hour after I went to bed, the LIMIT SELL order got 
executed @ 1343.0, and when I got up this morning, I cancelled the buy limit 
and liquidated @1329.9. The NADEX CONFIRMATION EMAILS directly 
below.



So, adding it all up, 1343.0 - 1337.1 = 5.9 *2 lots = +11.8 index points, and 
1330.7 - 1329.9 = 0.8 * 2 lots = +1.6 index points, and therefore = 13.4 index 
points, and after commissions = 12.6 index points = $126 on a MAX 
THEORETICAL RISK TO CAPITAL OF $128, EQUALS A RETURN OF 
ABOUT 100%. … “yea sure, somebody show me how you do this at Turnkey, or 
any other brokerage house, and go to bed knowing the scumbag LP’s can’t hurt 
you, and then with the tiniest of index movement overnight it makes us 100% on 
risked capital in the trade … a risk I might add, that is only applicable to Friday’s 
close of the stock indices at 4:15 PM EST, which is over 12 hours from when I’m 
writing this … what I did was “play” volatility, knowing that the index will move, 
but not knowing exactly when … when it finally moved, we profited handsomely, 
simple as that, with no added risk to the losing side that could turn the trade into a 
loser … sure, go ask your offshore broker customer service rep how you do this at 
their brokerage house? … crickets”!

Now, some of you might be thinking, why haven’t we done some gold trades 
utilizing these approaches outlined here … “good question, and here’s the 
answer: the pricing hasn’t been there to do them … the probabilities NOT high 
enough for profit success … of the 23 markets offered at NADEX, we track and 
closely monitor 14 of the most volatile of the 23 … one, two or more almost 
always have what I’m looking for, and many come and go for a short while and 
then come back again … we simply give signals service subscribers the “BEST” 
& most highly probabilistic profit trades, and leave the rest alone … recently it’s 
been RUT2000 & WTI Crude Oil … tomorrow, who knows, it could be Soybeans 
or the Canadian Dollar”.

Every morning @ 4 AM EST, the European stock indices [DAX30 & 
FTSE100] get put on the board for trading call spreads … I’ve been looking at 
those lately, and they look promising … @ 8 AM EST, NADEX produces 
another set of call spreads in the US stock indices [and other markets as well] 
… the new ones posted just a few minutes ago, sees very wide bid/offer prices, 
and there isn’t any opportunity here yet … as we get closer to the 10:30 AM 
EST open, things will start to get interesting and pricing reflective of the 
market. Meanwhile, a small rally in the RUT2000, that can approach 1350, 
will see our binary spread “blow out”, and allow us to “ring the register” here 
as well … “oh, it’s good to be a gansta”!

Another great week of trading … we’ll pick it up again Sunday night and into 
Monday’s New Year’s Eve trading session … be back for the Sunday update 
blog, so see you then mi amigos … I’m outta here … Onward & Upward!!

UPDATE @ 3:07 PM EST: WTI Crude Oil binaries have CLOSED and we 
receive our guaranteed profit from last night … no lottery ticket win in crude 
 today. However, in the RUT2000, we just rung the register “bigly & yuge”, as 
the index rallies up past 1350, and we have on the long 1350 and short 1356 
strikes, respectively. The EMAIL CONFIRMATION directly below.



So, instead of hoping for a “lottery ticket” win, I sold the long 1350 binary 
@75.50, and bought the short 1356 binary @ 31.50. Remember from earlier, I 
bought the 1350 @ 1.5, sold it for 75.50 = 74.00 * 10 = $740 gain. I sold the 
1356 @ 16.25 and bought it back @ 31.50 = -15.25 * 10 = -$152.50. After 
commissions, that’s about an ADDITIONAL $580 gain today … “as I said 
earlier, there’s always a chance these turn into volatility plays later on … this 
one did”! I’ll have more on doing “binary volatility strategies” in the tutorial 
coming Tuesday. That’s it for the week, no positions on as we move to the 
NYSE close … what a way to end the week … a far cry from the shit I have to 
deal with in gold!
 
Have a great weekend everybody!

-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES IN 20 
OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, & STOCK 
INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?