CRYPTO TICKER

powered by Coinlib

Friday, August 30, 2019

THOSE SNEAKY RUSKIES!!

“And so are the Ruskies!”

And the Ruskies spoil any and every long position in oil, just like that … promise
to cut production, and then come along [after Vlad & crew are short] and have
your energy czar tell the world your production was higher than anticipated last
month … don’t you just hate those glitches! 

And so, back to the 54 handle lickity split, and if you’re long, no soup for you! And
that’s about it for today … other than that, it’s the same old same old … and oil is
stuck in the mid 50’s.

Blog update on Sunday … until then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great Holiday weekend everybody!

-vegas


Thursday, August 29, 2019

OIL TRACKS STOCKS

“If I trade oil one more time and they screw me … !”

OK, today sees oil track stocks … tomorrow, who knows? … and with the
DOW30 clocking in an approximate 800 point rally in 2 days, oil manages to go
up less than a buck … wow, great risk / reward here, huh? … in other words, oil
remains a mess, stuck in the mid 50’s with nowhere to go … seriously, leave it
alone and take the advice of the bird.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Wednesday, August 28, 2019

OIL GOES NOWHERE … AGAIN, PART II

“Oh look, another oil trader looking for a trend!”

Ughh, part Deux … well, oil inventories roulette has disappointed the crowd once
again, as the HFT algos have failed to ignite crude on the big draw … market back
in the 55 handle, and see my shocked face. Until next week at the earliest, I don’t
think there’s anything that can move this shit one way or the other … right now, oil
sucks.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody! 

-vegas

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

OIL GOES NOWHERE … AGAIN

“When is this guy gonna leave oil alone!?

Ughh … I could elaborate, but is sums up the paltry crude oil trade today in one
word … let’s not spoil a perfectly good August day, by trying to figure out the
🙶what, where, when, & hows🙷, of a market that has no clue where the hell it’s
going or why it’s going there … oil inventories roulette later in the day if you’re
nuts.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Monday, August 26, 2019

OIL THE ODD MARKET OUT

“I think she trades oil … scary thought isn’t it!?

Caught between the utter insanity of gold and the stock indices, oil knee jerks
around on a yo-yo string … happy trails as this shit moves, cuz it’s wicked. Lost
of course in the moves, are any and all reasons oil should be going up/down $2
per barrel on a daily basis, which is approximately 4% of the value of the entire
barrel of oil … if gold did that for its 20 Day Range MA, we’d be having $60+ daily
ranges … the DOW30 would be having approximately 1000 index point ranges.

Right now, besides the complete bullshit flowing from both the U.S. & China over
the trade deal, the fact is China is NOT going to be making any deal before the
2020 U.S. election … why should they? … and even if they did, outside of an
initial burst higher, it would soon become apparent when the details were
released, that it would have no teeth for keeping China honest … so, the world
demand side of oil looks bleak, and I’m being kind … from the supply side, only
the potential threat from Iran keeps oil from getting 🙶monkey hammered🙷 … and
with sheikhs and dictators pumping like crazy, where does that leave oil? … I’ll
tell you … it leaves it in the hands of the stock market and the gyrations of the
DOW30, that’s where … and this does not forebode good news for oil … in other
words, stuck in the mid 50’s with nowhere to go.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Sunday, August 25, 2019

SUNDAY UPDATE꞉ A CASINO GIVES YOU FREE DRINKS

“Of course, he was referring to crude oil trading!”

For a market that isn’t really going anywhere from day-to-day, week-to-week, WTI
Crude Oil has a very high 20 Day Range MA … directly below, the current week.

click on chart to enlarge 

Averaging a $2 range every day isn’t easy when you’re not going anywhere on
the dailies, but then factor in all the political bullshit taking place and you end
up wondering why it isn’t higher!

Lately, and it isn’t by any means restricted to oil, the market has been extremely
volatile to breaking news events … love ‘em, hate ‘em, it doesn’t really matter cuz
they end up moving oil violently … the trading action we’ve been seeing makes
the oil trading algorithm almost obsolete in its effectiveness to capture profits
without risking the farm … in the days ahead after the September Labor Day
Holiday, we’ll be releasing a new oil trading algorithm … we’re beta testing it now
in real time, and it’s a better trading algorithm for oil.

As many of you know, the biggest problem in trading oil [WTI and/or Brent] is
finding the right offshore brokerage house to trade a CFD that doesn’t rip you off
… and the cold hard facts are 99.9% of all of the oil CFD’s are JUNK … sky high
spreads with some larded up with commissions as well … the two offshore
brokerage houses we are most familiar with, COINEXX & TURNKEY, used to have
decent oil trading CFD’s … today they are a cruel joke and a complete rip off. If
you live outside the U.S. and/or are a non U.S. citizen, the two best places to trade
oil are PLUS500 [Israel] and CMCMarkets [UK] that we have checked out … that’s
not to say there aren’t others, but we know these two have 3 cent spreads or
LOWER with no commissions … if you’re paying more than 3 cents bid/offer
spread, you’re getting ripped off, and even if the brokerage house quotes 3 cent
oil spreads, make sure you know if there are round turn ECN commissions as well
or not … many houses will quote a good spread, and then completely rip you off
with a commission that makes your net cost to trade oil 7+ cents a barrel or even
MORE.

For U.S. citizens it boils down to, do you want to trade in the U.S. via the futures
market with the standard 1,000 barrels per 1 lot and/or the emini 500 barrels per
1 lot contracts, and put up with higher margins and the generation of a 1099 to the
IRS for your account, OR do you want to trade these futures offshore, e.g. at
Investors Europe, or someplace else and have no reporting requirements?
… right now, there is NO offshore brokerage house, that I know of, that accepts
U.S. clients and has anywhere near decent trade conditions in oil CFD’s … they are
all complete rip offs … sadly, U.S. citizens join North Korea, Yemen, & Syria on the
list of forbidden countries most offshore brokers refuse to deal with … thank you
Nanny state government and all the bullshit you bring to the table.

When we release the new oil algorithm, we’ll be uploading M1 charts to the blog
that utilize 3 cent bid/offer 🙶net cost🙷 pricing … this way, whether you trade
futures or CFD’s, you’ll be right on the market for whatever platform and
brokerage house you’re using, and everyone will only be fractions of a penny off
the market no matter how you trade oil … this to us seems the best solution to
handle everybody.

Onto next week, and we’ll see what political bombs drop to  make oil go up/down
like a roller coaster … that’s pretty much all there is to markets anymore … and
oh yes, the oil inventories roulette games on Tuesday late afternoon &
Wednesday morning … other than that, sit back and wait for the ChiComs and/or
Trump tweets … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas



Friday, August 23, 2019

CHINA MONKEY HAMMERS OIL

“The oil trader’s blues … how do you trade panic!?”

Thank you ChiComs, may I have another!! … how do you get from 55 down to the
53’s? … simple, ask the ChiComs for some blah blah, yada yada … and once again,
oil gets buffeted around like a ping pong ball … impossible trading mi amigos
… more on the Sunday blog update.

Until then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great weekend everybody!

-vegas


Thursday, August 22, 2019

I CAN’T DRIVE 55

“Or, stupid markets!”

Well, the 55 handle again in WTI Crude Oil … see my shocked face that isn’t
shocked. This market currently in ‘’screw traders’’ mode, as we go back and forth
in the mid 50’s, going nowhere … wake me when this shit moves.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Wednesday, August 21, 2019

OIL INVENTORIES ROULETTE DAY!

“Every oil move a lottery pick!”

Well, that didn’t quite turn out like expected, now did it? … oil inventories
disappoint again, and oil backs off the rally … now what? … maybe FED minutes
can move this stuff, but I doubt it. Hello, IT’S STUCK IN THE 50’S WITH NOWHERE
TO GO … ‘’you’re welcome’’.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Tuesday, August 20, 2019

MORE OF THE SAME

“That’s a mighty big pile of poo Skippy!”

Oil doing its best to imitate a big pile of dinosaur poop … congrats, i think you’re
there … nothing new today, simply technicals dominating the market, meaning big
money sloshing small around and forcing them into errors … feel like Pavlov’s dog
yet?

I can’t take anymore of this … seriously, some days I’d rather watch ‘Brady Bunch’
reruns … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Monday, August 19, 2019

ANOTHER WORTHLESS DAY IN OIL

“That’s a mighty big IF!”

Oil bumbling along in the mid 50’s … ho hum, nothing new … a little up, a little
down … various headlines spook longs then shorts … rinse, repeat and start the
process over again … tomorrow sees the start of oil inventories roulette, and then
on Wednesday afternoon we get FED minutes … how this shakes out is
anybody’s guess, but more than likely oil goes nowhere … there simply isn’t
anything on the supply / demand horizon that changes the price dynamic.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Sunday, August 18, 2019

SUNDAY UPDATE: ADAPT OR DIE

“I trade oil … no worries … what can possibly go wrong!?”

In case you haven’t noticed, crude oil is trapped … stuck in a volatile trading
range, where world oil supply & demand seem immovable at the moment … sure,
at some point in the future, price will move out of this current mid 50’s range, but
that isn’t the point … point is, will you have a trading account by then or will it be
destroyed by this choppy bullshit we’re in now? … the usual buy highs, sell lows
that chop invites. So, adapt to this trading environment or die … that’s the choice
right now, simple as that.

Directly below, this week’s 20 Day Range MA for WTI Crude Oil.

click on chart to enlarge

Various headlines,Trump tweets, and the ever present Fed Pie Holes continue to
keep oil VIX elevated … however, it’s deceiving cuz it all happens in
microseconds, and trying to capture significant portions of these oil moves is
almost “Hoover Dam” impossible … quite frankly, this market is a mess right
now and I would avoid it … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas