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Thursday, January 31, 2019

IS THIS SUPPOSED TO BE COMEDY?

“I think you’ve been watching markets too much!” 

The call spreads are getting hit, although there was a tiny window earlier 
today in EURJPY, right near the European open where EURJPY was around 
35 - 36, and then later it was in the high 50’s … other than that, though, it’s 
tough sledding. GBPJPY is starting to roll over in terms of VIX, and we have 
to be very careful here on what we pay.

Oil has become “sloppy”, with the very quick rallies / breaks, not doing us any 
favors. Stock indices are slowly being manipulated higher … and VIX here is 
dying as well. Gold overnight is starting to trade, but in New York it’s insanely 
quiet … today a good example so far.

I’m watching gold intently now, cuz I see opportunity in this complex with 
both the binaries and the call spreads … the call spreads that come early in 
the morning, and not the ones at the open. I think we’ll be doing a lot of high 
probability trades here in the days and weeks to come. 

Quite frankly, I’ve been disappointed in the binaries for the DOW30 & WTI 
Crude Oil … I thought they would be better priced, and they move so  
“Hoover Dam” fast, that by the time I see a potential trade, I can’t even get 
over to the email to send it before it’s 10+ points away in the profit direction 
… watching gold the last couple of days, I don’t see that as a problem … so, 
look for some gold trades upcoming in the binaries.

Onto tomorrow, where I’m expecting gold to take some kind of hit in New 
York … it can’t simply just go up every day can it? … I’m outta here … until 
tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!
 
-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES 
IN 20 OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, 
& STOCK INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?





 

Wednesday, January 30, 2019

VOLATILITY CRUSHED, PART DEUX

“Where have I seen this before!?”  

No real volatility trades to do today, as there isn’t any time for them to work 
… and judging by the FED actions today, anybody in GBPJPY is getting hurt 
as I write. Onto tomorrow, and we’ll see what happens. Simply a wasted day 
that couldn’t be avoided.
  
Have a great day everybody!
 
-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES 
IN 20 OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, 
& STOCK INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?



Tuesday, January 29, 2019

VOLATILITY CRUSHED AGAIN TODAY

“Hmmm, it was filled up a second ago!”  

They priced volatility to the max last night, and then crushed it like a bug 
today. NADEX Call Spreads losing premium right out of the opening all day, 
especially GBPJPY. Even EURJPY, which had a low opening spread to begin 
with, can’t make any headway, the cross putting in a lousy 55 PIP range and 
now sitting right in the middle … “WTF has happened to EURJPY VIX? It’s 
simply shit, and has been for awhile now … occasionally a good day comes, but 
then ranges rapidly dwindle back for days on end”.

Crude Oil catching a bid today, and I’m having a rough time figuring out why 
… it’s basically the only market moving, but it waited to the NYSE open 
… why? … since then it’s tapered off some, but getting a handle on this 
market has been difficult, especially since the binaries move rapidly at the 
first hint of a rally. I’ve got some algo work to do in capturing the optimal 
time for binary buys/sells in this market.

Stock indices are dead … not surprising since tomorrow’s FED interest rate 
decision is key … if they don’t pause rates, this complex is toast.

So, kind of a wait and see day, with very little going on outside of the gold 
rally. And speaking of gold, I’m looking at the binaries for trading, but we 
need to see slightly better trading conditions for that to happen. 

Onto tomorrow, where I’m hoping call spread premiums can be reasonable 
tonight … we just happen to be in a week where a lot of SHTF is taking place, 
and markets are literally afraid of the potential outcomes … yes, volatility 
gets priced in, but until events are known markets aren’t going to respond at 
all. It’s just something we got to live with this week and hope for the best 
… I’m outta here … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!
  
Have a great day everybody!
 
-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES 
IN 20 OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, 
& STOCK INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?







Monday, January 28, 2019

THE VOLATILITY MESS

“Calling up the flying monkeys to maintain order sounds good to me!”  

No call spread trades overnight, as today looks to be the weakest of the week 
for volatility … the real action starts tomorrow and continues every day the 
rest of the week, capping off with NFP on Friday. GBPJPY somewhat 
lethargic, as I expected, but the call spreads still worked cuz the market went 
in one direction. It will be interesting to see what the premiums are tonight.

U.S. stocks got whacked out of the gate, thanks to CAT, and have been range 
bound since the NYSE open, but with a downside bias. Binaries here see the 
bid/offer spreads widen a tad, with sell side offers very high relative to the 
bids. The action here not very good today.

All in all, a very dead day … release the flying monkeys! Onto tomorrow, and 
we’ll see what happens.

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES 
IN 20 OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, 
& STOCK INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?





Sunday, January 27, 2019

SUNDAY UPDATE: WHAT HAPPENS NOW?

“What it feels like being manipulated when trading!”  

Market makers gotta market make … and that usually means you get ripped 
off … ALL exchanges to some degree are criminal organizations, cuz they 
allow LP’s & HFT’s to run roughshod, and then get payback under the table. 
How do I know this? Simple; when I was on the trading floor, coming back 
from every weekend on a Monday, all the brokers & bag men had briefcases 
or paper bags they were carrying … Monday was cash settlement day from 
the week before, and bag men & others owed money to the Elites that had to 
be paid … I used to ask on the elevator going up to the clearing firm, “oh, I 
see you brought a P&J for lunch, lemme see”! … and of course, I didn’t get to 
see, and when you hit the floor, a helluva lot of paper bags are going back & 
forth … you know, cuz these guys just love swapping sandwiches. “You think 
somehow, just cuz we got computers, that this has stopped? … rats always find 
the frickin’ cheese”!

Today, the cocaine cowboys from past decades are replaced by the suits of 
Wall Street … same criminals just different kinds … exchanges aren’t really 
exchanges, they’re server farms … the LP’s are staffed with mathematicians, 
physicists & programmers … there goal is to get you to think markets are 
fair and honest, when everybody knows the opposite … throw in lawyers to 
make things as confusing as possible, and if everybody gets their cut, things 
run smoothly. Bitch, complain, & don’t make the necessary payments on 
time, and now you got a problem.

This is how the financial world runs today … run by criminal outfits that 
strive for respectability, but time and time again prove how bad they are 
… think about all the flash crashes, all the bank manipulated market scams 
over the last 5 - 10 years involving LIBOR, gold & silver, and of course FX, 
and outside of junior trading desk wannabe’s, who in management went to 
jail? … right, nobody … it’s a prearranged “fall guy” that takes the sword.

Directly below the markets we cover, with the 20 Day Range MA’s, in no 
particular order of importance.

click on any chart to enlarge





Also, directly below, the volatile FX charted against NADEX call spreads from 
the open.


The one day last week, where we are long the call spreads in GBPJPY, the 
market goes “sleepytime”, and it’s a Friday [very rare] that sees action.  
“Meh”!

I said on Friday, that starting tomorrow, we’re going to be not only trading 
the call spreads but also during the U.S. day. From our experience, the best 
way to sidestep risk and news dominated markets that go “sky rocket” to  
“Thelma & Louise” at the drop of a hat, is to trade near at the money [ATM] 
binaries on proprietary algorithm signals … basically buy in the 40’s and sell 
in the upper 50’s - low 60’s, when getting a “buy” signal, or vice versa.

Our preferred markets for this are DOW30 & WTI Crude OIL … most of the 
time will be spent on the DOW30, which has been extremely volatile, but 
where binary bid/offer spreads are very tight, usually 3 points or less 
… remember, these are binaries, and trade between 0 - 100, but unless you are 
near an expiration, the potential volatility will keep price over 20 and below 
mid 80’s, unless the DOW30 is a literal mile away in price. Secondarily, we’ll 
be tracking WTI Crude Oil, and it’s possible we could have both trades on at 
the same time.

IMHO, this is the best way to “trade”, cuz it eliminates a helluva lot of price 
risk … binaries trade probabilities off being at the strike at expiration, and 
have a price as well as a time component, so there is “optionality” to the trade. 
Trading has evolved into eliminate risk as your first priority, and then seek 
profit, not the other way around. If you want to make more, simply trade 
bigger lot volumes … but eliminating account destruction due to  
“news events”, however they may come and in what form, has to be your first 
priority … if not, you won’t be around long in the current paradigm of 
trading … you simply can’t take the hit from spikes from hell.

Also, cuz people have asked for it, we are going to catalogue signals service 
recommendations on a monthly basis … this coming week sees the end of 
January, so next weekend I’ll have all of the January 2019 trade 
recommendations we’ve made, and the net results from those 
recommendations … each month on the first Sunday of the month, I’ll post 
them on the Sunday blog, and then archive them over in “Download Links”.

I’m also almost finished with the last two tutorials, and those should be ready 
to post next week as well … if not, the week after. So, a busy week ahead.

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas

OUR NADEX SIGNALS SERVICE IS UP & RUNNING … DAILY 
WTI CRUDE OIL SIGNALS & “VOLATILITY” STRATEGIES 
IN 20 OTHER MARKETS, INCLUDING COMMODITIES, FX, 
& STOCK INDICES! … “what on earth are you waiting for”?