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Monday, May 20, 2019

A RAY OF HOPE FOR OIL TRADERS

“And, it’s only Monday!”

As soon as I write it, it gets thrown back in my face … well, maybe … some
potentially good news for oil traders, especially smaller trading accounts.
Yesterday’s blog highlighted the fact there isn’t any decent place to trade
either WTI or Brent crude oil … dunno yet, but maybe I was a bit premature
in that assumption.

Today, I’m at Coinexx, the place that bought out FinPro Trading, back at the
end of 2018. Before then, they were strictly a crypto trading exchange. I
talked with them earlier today, and what they tell me, is that they also bought
out Turnkey’s service provider, which I believe was Turnkey FX … I’m not
100% certain on this, as Turnkey Forex is kinda mum on the question
… interesting tidbit if true, but more to the point.

Coinexx bid/offer spreads today in WTI crude oil were 2 - 3 cents, with a 1 lot
= to 1,000 barrels. Trading is done in increments of 0.01 lots, meaning the
minimum trade size is 10 barrels [1,000 * 0.01 = 10]. Round turn commissions
are $2 per 1 lot, meaning if you trade 100 barrels of oil [$1 per penny] or 0.10
lots, your RT commission = 20 cents [about ⅕ of a minimum one penny tick].
Leverage is set by the customer at account setup, and can be set at 500X
… that means on the 100 barrels of oil at current price, the margin is about
$12 - $13.

Now, as we all know, leverage can kill you if you let it, but for a smaller
account that has maybe $200 - $500 in it, trading oil with these conditions
makes an awful lot of sense, cuz you can pick your risk level. Coinexx has
approximately 20+ crypto currencies you can utilize for deposit / withdrawal,
including the most popular Bitcoin [BTC]. Crypto is the only means for
deposit & withdrawal, so there are no bank transfers or credit/debit cards.

If you choose to open a live account and use MT4, your account can only be
based in USD or EURUSD. If you choose to use MT5, your account can be held
in USD, or the 5 crypto currencies 1) Bitcoin [BTC], 2) Bitcoin Cash [BCH],
3) Etherium [ETH], 4) Lite Coin [LTC], and 5) Ripple Coin [XRP].  

Opening an account at Coinexx [ https://coinexx.com/ ] is easy, but despite
what the website says about “no verification”, that’s simply to open an
account. To trade, deposit, & withdraw you have to provide gov’t ID & proof
of address. I haven’t heard anything but good things about Coinexx, and they
have a positive review status at Forex Peace Army … the fact they aren’t
regulated doesn’t bother me in the least cuz regulation is meaningless … go
ask REFCO & MF Global ex-customers where regulation by everybody got
them, when both went belly up … it got them shafted is where it got them
… so, it could be a good place to trade oil if your account is relatively small.
At 2 - 3 cents, the spread is reasonable considering the daily ranges are usually
well over $1+, on the vast majority of days, while the RT commission is
meaningless coming in at ⅕ of a penny move no matter what your size of trade
level. OK, so you give up a penny or two to get the size of your risk profile
where you want it … remember, this is a CFD … IMHO, the flexibility this
offers is well worth the give up of a couple of pennies … in reality, it will trade
a lot better than the NADEX call spreads, that I am sure.

Today’s oil market, a simple reflection of the U.S. stock market … where the
SP500 goes, WTI oil isn’t far behind … SP500 rallies, oil rallies … SP500
breaks, oil breaks … and everything inside the 61.00-ish - 63.50-ish range
that’s been in effect for about the last 16 trading days. Right now, nothing
else matters, and with OPEC+ meeting in June, there isn’t much to go on but
rumors about supply, and rumors about world oil demand going lower cuz of
China.

For those who want to trade oil, but don’t want the 1,000 barrel size futures
contracts, give the demo at Coinexx a shot … use the MT5 and follow the
Bitcoin trading there as well [not available on MT4] … choose 500X as
leverage to give your account margins the lowest amount possible. If they,
meaning Coinexx, can consistently keep this 2 - 3 cent spread, it should be a
clear winner for smaller accounts. Until tomorrow mi amigos!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


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