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Thursday, October 31, 2019

OIL TRACKS STOCKS LOWER

“Good luck with that Skippy!”

Oil tracks lower with stocks … another “see my shocked face moment … not”.
Although the day’s range is slightly higher than the last few days, unless
something happens here later today or tomorrow, WTI is set to see another drop
in the 20 Day Range MA come Sunday’s blog update. Starting with this week’s
MA, I’m going to track oil like I do for the SP500, which is to show both the days
range MA AND the 7 AM EST - 3:00 PM EST [New York session] MA. This will give
us a better look at the state of the oil market.

Other than that, the “Traders Course” [TC] does cover oil as well, both from a
position perspective as well a scalper [day trader] perspective, covering trading
styles from conservative to very aggressive for scalpers … ordering info over on
the sister blog www.traderzoogold.blogspot.com in the header using crypto
… take your pick, there’s 8 of them there … price is only $60, so everyone can
afford it that’s serious about trading … I’m not entertaining “tire kickers” any
longer.

For oil position traders, I would recommend trading the various ETF’s and/or
ETN’s in crude oil, which I know have leveraged holdings, from both the long and
short side … for example, there’s an ETF that is always “short” oil, so whenever
oil goes down, the ETF stock goes up … both Fidelity & Schwab offer trading in
all stocks, bonds, options, ETF’s & ETN’s commission free now, so you can
effectively trade the ETF’s, no matter the size, from the long side without cost
… download the FX CHOICE DEMO and run the algorithms for signals … except
for the initial cost of the algo, you have ZERO TRADING COSTS … quite frankly, I
don’t know how it can get any better for you … in addition, those that don’t like
CFD’s, the leverage they use, or the fact you’re using an offshore broker [trust me,
your confidence in the U.S. brokerage community is totally misplaced and
misguided], use the ETF’s to short term trade as well … even though the CFD in
oil is commission free, your stock ETF trades would be as well … so there’s that
option as well for you … I don’t agree with it, but it’s your money so do what you
want. However, no matter how you slice the trade, you’re gonna need the TC to
get the oil algorithms … they come with support should any problems or
questions arise … so, the ball is in your court if you’re gonna follow oil here, cuz
when oil gets more active and I start trading it, the charts aren;t going to make
any sense to you without the TC.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Wednesday, October 30, 2019

IF STOCKS CAN’T RALLY OIL, WHAT CAN?

“Back into the $54 handle, but don’t tell anyone!”

Well, oil VIX continues to drop, and it’s “Slim Pickens” for traders as volatility is
evaporating before our eyes. Quite frankly folks, I’ve got no words for oil right
now … it’s a dead market getting deader-er by the day … how long this lasts is
anybody’s guess, but for now it doesn’t look good if you’re trading it.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Tuesday, October 29, 2019

OIL LIMPS, THEN RALLIES

“Mr. Burns … I’m convinced this guy runs the crude oil market!”

Well now, VIX dropping along with daily ranges, and nobody really knows what
the hell to do with oil, so they leave it alone, which perpetuates the self fulfilling
prophecy of lower volumes and activity even more … all the while trading in
tighter and tighter ranges in the mid $50’s … nothing new under the sun here
folks, sad to say.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Monday, October 28, 2019

CRUDE OIL SAYS “NOT SO FAST”

“Hang on cowboy, not so fast!”

Just when it looked like oil could climb a little, BAM!, along comes a drop back
into the $55 handle … even with the Trump tweet this morning that “Everything
Is F-ing Awesome, Baby!”, there’s simply too much oil sloshing around to see
price rally … so what else is new from the last 100 days, aside from the Saudi
attacks? … right, nothing … an you see oil’s response … nothing new under the
sun here.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Sunday, October 27, 2019

SUNDAY UPDATE: OIL VIX DROPPING

“The 6 emotions of trading crude oil … do you see yourself!?”

The 20 Day Range of WTI Crude Oil for this week directly below.

click on chart to enlarge

VIX going lower as crude is trapped in a range that is seemingly unending
… basically a $52 - $53 on the low side, and $56 - $57 on the high side, and
unless there’s more attacks on tankers from somebody, there doesn’t seem to
be any breakthrough in terms of supply and demand … I’m afraid it’s just more
of the same this week, bouncing around in the “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD],
as the big money crowd banks coin at the expense of retail specs … nothing
new under the sun … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas



Friday, October 25, 2019

OIL GOES “SLEEPYTIME” … [AGAIN]

“Oil traders from yesterday … they’re still puzzled!”

Not much to report on in the oil complex, as oil puts in one of its worst range days
in recent memory … barely over a buck for the day, hanging onto the $56 handle
… there is literally nothing you can take away from today, as even the “China
trade deal” rumors did almost nothing … there’s too much oil sloshing around to
get it much higher unless there is another Saudi attack of some kind … really
nothing new under the sun.

Blog update on Sunday … until then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Thursday, October 24, 2019

AND AFTER OIL ROULETTE, THEN WHAT?

“Oil traders hard at work figuring out crude oil!”

Barely a buck range today, what is it you want me to say about this stuff? … OK,
pathetic, there ya go, but with everything else on the board going “sleepytime”
as well, why expect this crap to move? … It hasn’t … it won’t until something
changes, and right now nothing is changing … nothing new under the sun.

Until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Wednesday, October 23, 2019

IT'S OIL INVENTORIES ROULETTE DAY!

“Place your oil bets!”

Thanks to a big, ginormous draw in distillates, crude rallies strongly today to
touch the $56 handle, and settles in the $55’s … that and some talk the Saudi’s
are seeking more production cuts, which of course they don’t disclose until they
know the oil inventories report has gotten the market to rally … then break the
news and it adds further fuel to the rally fire … and stocks rally as well, so
there’s that.

We’ll see if anything can be maintained above $56 … I got my doubts … until
tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Tuesday, October 22, 2019

WELCOME TO “HO HUM” OIL, PART II

“I think that dog is a perfect metaphor for the crude oil market!”

What’s new with oil since yesterday? … right, NADA! … stocks rally a little, oil
rallies a little … stocks break a little, oil goes down some … somebody wake me
when this shit ends … I wish there were something to report, unfortunately
there isn’t  … nothing new under the sun … until tomorrow mi amigos
… Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Monday, October 21, 2019

WELCOME TO “HO HUM” OIL

“Just think crude oil, and you won’t be far off!”

We’ve got a market on our hands that can’t go anywhere … it’s a miracle the 20
Day Range is as high as it is, but from yesterday’s chart, it’s started to go down
from that $2 level, and today it’s again significantly below that … with no news, it
basically just mirrors stocks … I wish there was some news to move this puppy,
but unfortunately it’s as stuck in mud in the $52 - $55 range, and unless missiles
start flying, or the “China trade deal” gets solved [hahahaha], I don’t see anything
happening anytime soon to get this market out of the mud … nothing new under
the sun … until then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Sunday, October 20, 2019

SUNDAY UPDATE: FACE FACTS, OIL IS STUCK

“As clear as the “fun-dur-mentals” in crude oil!”

Couldn’t be clearer, right? … well maybe not … oil can’t decide what to do, and I
don’t see anything on the horizon to change that … at least not this week … but if
you know oil, then you know it can go anywhere, and the drivers of oil can be
literally anything … most likely it tracks stocks this week and/or China news
… nothing new under the sun.

The “Traders Course” [TC] is finished, and will be available in a couple of days
… sometime this week it will be released … the crude oil algorithms are part of it,
of course, and if I say so myself they are excellent … it would be nice, though, if
crude could stop this “pump & dump” cycle we’ve been in, and start trending
somewhere, but I’m not hopeful.

Directly below, the WTI Crude Oil 20 Day Range MA for this week.

click on chart to enlarge

Onto the week at hand… until then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas



Friday, October 18, 2019

IS THERE ANY INTEREST IN OIL?

“Lately, this is all has become!”

With each passing day, it gets tougher to comment on crude oil … does anybody
care about this market right now, seems to be an appropriate question to ask
… chopping around the $52 $ $53 handle and not being able to extend up or
down from here is disappointing … its trading action is setting up some
dangerous technical trading conditions … cuz when it lets loose in some
direction, and the “fun-dur-mentals” support it, look out for some crazy action
… until then, though, it’s gonna be some more “sleepytime”.

Blog update on Sunday … until then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas